| 1st Choice Next Day Trades Using a 1.0 Beta
S&P 500 Index Fund |
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| |
January 1987 Through
December 2004 |
|
| |
S&P 500 |
1ST |
1ST |
1ST |
|
| |
CLOSE |
CHOICE |
CHOICE |
CHOICE |
|
| DATE |
VALUE |
POSITION |
GAIN |
VALUE |
|
| ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
|
| 1/2/1987 |
246.45 |
Buy |
|
$246.45 |
|
| 3/10/1987 |
290.31 |
Sell |
17.80% |
$290.31 |
|
| 3/12/1987 |
289.89 |
Buy |
0.14% |
$290.73 |
|
| 3/19/1987 |
298.17 |
Sell |
2.86% |
$299.03 |
|
| 4/27/1987 |
282.51 |
Cash |
5.25% |
$314.74 |
|
| 4/30/1987 |
288.03 |
Buy |
0.08% |
$314.98 |
| 5/4/1987 |
295.34 |
Sell |
2.54% |
$322.98 |
| 6/17/1987 |
305.69 |
Buy |
-3.50% |
$311.66 |
| 7/28/1987 |
315.65 |
Sell |
3.26% |
$321.81 |
| 10/27/1987 |
233.28 |
Cash |
26.10% |
$405.79 |
| 11/3/1987 |
248.96 |
Sell |
0.15% |
$406.41 |
| 11/18/1987 |
240.05 |
Buy |
3.58% |
$420.96 |
| |
|
|
| 1987
S&P 500: +0.3%
1st Choice Timing: +75.8% |
| |
|
|
| 2/26/1988 |
267.82 |
Sell |
11.57% |
$469.65 |
| 3/14/1988 |
266.13 |
Buy |
0.63% |
$472.62 |
| 11/2/1988 |
279.2 |
Sell |
4.91% |
$495.83 |
| 11/18/1988 |
266.22 |
Buy |
4.65% |
$518.88 |
| |
|
|
| 1988
S&P 500: +12.4%
1st Choice Timing: +24.9% |
| |
|
|
| 8/4/1989 |
349.41 |
Sell |
31.25% |
$681.02 |
| 8/9/1989 |
348.25 |
Buy |
0.33% |
$683.28 |
| 8/31/1989 |
353.73 |
Sell |
1.57% |
$694.04 |
| 9/8/1989 |
347.66 |
Buy |
1.72% |
$705.95 |
| 10/11/1989 |
355.39 |
Sell |
2.22% |
$721.64 |
| 10/26/1989 |
335.06 |
Cash |
5.72% |
$762.92 |
| 10/31/1989 |
341.2 |
Buy |
0.10% |
$763.69 |
| 11/3/1989 |
332.61 |
Sell |
-2.52% |
$744.47 |
| 11/20/1989 |
339.59 |
Buy |
-2.10% |
$728.84 |
| |
|
|
| 1989
S&P 500: +27.3%
1st Choice Timing: +40.1% |
| |
|
|
| 4/11/1990 |
344.34 |
Sell |
1.40% |
$739.04 |
| 4/20/1990 |
331.05 |
Buy |
3.86% |
$767.56 |
| 7/17/1990 |
364.22 |
Sell |
10.02% |
$844.47 |
| 9/6/1990 |
323.4 |
Buy |
11.21% |
$939.11 |
| 9/11/1990 |
322.54 |
Sell |
-0.27% |
$936.62 |
| 10/1/1990 |
315.21 |
Buy |
2.27% |
$957.90 |
|
| 10/19/1990 |
314.76 |
Sell |
-0.14% |
$956.53 |
|
| 10/26/1990 |
301.88 |
Buy |
4.09% |
$995.67 |
|
| 11/2/1990 |
314.59 |
Sell |
4.21% |
$1,037.60 |
|
| 11/19/1990 |
315.31 |
Buy |
-0.23% |
$1,035.22 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1990
S&P 500: -6.6%
1st Choice Timing: +42.9% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/4/1991 |
315.44 |
Sell |
0.04% |
$1,035.65 |
|
| 1/14/1991 |
313.73 |
Buy |
0.54% |
$1,041.26 |
|
| 5/9/1991 |
375.74 |
Sell |
19.77% |
$1,247.07 |
|
| 6/25/1991 |
371.59 |
Buy |
1.10% |
$1,260.84 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1991
S&P 500: +26.3%
1st Choice Timing: +30.5% |
|
| |
|
|
| 2/25/1992 |
415.35 |
Sell |
11.78% |
$1,409.33 |
|
| 3/12/1992 |
405.84 |
Cash |
2.29% |
$1,441.60 |
|
| 3/19/1992 |
411.3 |
Sell |
0.09% |
$1,442.84 |
|
| 4/13/1992 |
412.39 |
Buy |
-0.27% |
$1,439.02 |
|
| 4/15/1992 |
416.05 |
Sell |
0.89% |
$1,451.79 |
|
| 4/27/1992 |
409.11 |
Buy |
1.67% |
$1,476.01 |
|
| 5/4/1992 |
416.84 |
Sell |
1.89% |
$1,503.90 |
|
| 6/23/1992 |
403.83 |
Buy |
3.12% |
$1,550.84 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1992
S&P 500: +4.5%
1st Choice Timing: +18.2% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/19/1993 |
448.88 |
Sell |
11.16% |
$1,723.84 |
|
| 4/8/1993 |
448.37 |
Buy |
0.11% |
$1,725.80 |
|
| 7/16/1993 |
446.03 |
Sell |
-0.52% |
$1,716.79 |
|
| 8/11/1993 |
448.96 |
Buy |
-0.66% |
$1,705.52 |
|
| 11/2/1993 |
463.02 |
Sell |
3.13% |
$1,758.93 |
|
| 11/18/1993 |
462.6 |
Buy |
0.09% |
$1,760.52 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1993
S&P 500: +7.1%
1st Choice Timing +6.1% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/22/1994 |
468.54 |
Sell |
1.28% |
$1,783.13 |
|
| 4/8/1994 |
449.87 |
Buy |
3.98% |
$1,854.18 |
|
| 9/14/1994 |
474.81 |
Sell |
5.54% |
$1,956.97 |
|
| 10/26/1994 |
465.85 |
Cash |
1.89% |
$1,993.90 |
|
| 11/2/1994 |
467.91 |
Sell |
0.11% |
$1,996.12 |
|
| 11/18/1994 |
458.3 |
Cash |
2.05% |
$2,037.11 |
|
| 11/21/1994 |
450.09 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$2,037.59 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1994
S&P 500: -1.5%
1st Choice Timing: +17.8% |
|
| |
|
|
| 9/22/1995 |
581.81 |
Sell |
29.27% |
$2,633.90 |
|
| 10/26/1995 |
579.7 |
Cash |
0.36% |
$2,643.45 |
|
| 11/2/1995 |
590.57 |
Sell |
0.12% |
$2,646.53 |
|
| 11/7/1995 |
591.71 |
Buy |
-0.19% |
$2,641.42 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1995
S&P 500: +34.1%
1st Choice Timing: +32.2% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/19/1996 |
649.98 |
Sell |
9.85% |
$2,901.54 |
|
| 4/11/1996 |
636.71 |
Buy |
2.04% |
$2,960.78 |
|
| 6/10/1996 |
670.97 |
Sell |
5.38% |
$3,120.09 |
|
| 6/25/1996 |
664.39 |
Buy |
0.98% |
$3,150.69 |
|
| 6/27/1996 |
670.63 |
Cash |
0.94% |
$3,180.28 |
|
| 7/5/1996 |
652.54 |
Buy |
0.11% |
$3,183.79 |
|
| 7/8/1996 |
654.75 |
Cash |
0.34% |
$3,194.57 |
|
| 7/16/1996 |
634.07 |
Buy |
0.13% |
$3,198.85 |
|
| 7/17/1996 |
643.56 |
Sell |
1.50% |
$3,246.73 |
|
| 7/29/1996 |
635.26 |
Buy |
1.29% |
$3,288.60 |
|
| 8/8/1996 |
662.1 |
Sell |
4.23% |
$3,427.54 |
|
| 9/30/1996 |
689.08 |
Buy |
-4.07% |
$3,287.87 |
|
| 10/9/1996 |
694.61 |
Sell |
0.80% |
$3,314.26 |
|
| 10/28/1996 |
701.5 |
Buy |
-0.99% |
$3,281.38 |
|
| 11/4/1996 |
714.14 |
Sell |
1.80% |
$3,340.51 |
|
| 11/14/1996 |
737.62 |
Buy |
-3.29% |
$3,230.68 |
|
| 12/27/1996 |
753.85 |
Cash |
2.20% |
$3,301.76 |
|
| 12/31/1996 |
737.01 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$3,303.18 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1996
S&P 500: +20.3%
1st Choice Timing: +20.1% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/19/1997 |
782.65 |
Sell |
6.19% |
$3,507.73 |
|
| 4/25/1997 |
772.96 |
Cash |
1.24% |
$3,551.16 |
|
| 5/1/1997 |
812.97 |
Buy |
0.09% |
$3,554.35 |
|
| 5/2/1997 |
830.24 |
Sell |
2.12% |
$3,629.85 |
|
| 5/5/1997 |
827.76 |
Buy |
0.30% |
$3,640.69 |
|
| 7/25/1997 |
936.45 |
Sell |
13.13% |
$4,118.74 |
|
| 8/15/1997 |
912.49 |
Buy |
2.56% |
$4,224.12 |
|
| 12/5/1997 |
982.37 |
Cash |
7.66% |
$4,547.61 |
|
| 12/12/1997 |
963.39 |
Buy |
0.11% |
$4,552.76 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1997
S&P 500: +31.0%
1st Choice Timing: +38.8% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/5/1998 |
966.58 |
Sell |
0.33% |
$4,567.84 |
|
| 1/9/1998 |
939.21 |
Buy |
2.83% |
$4,697.18 |
|
| 2/2/1998 |
1005.99 |
Sell |
7.11% |
$5,031.16 |
|
| 2/10/1998 |
1020.01 |
Buy |
-1.39% |
$4,961.04 |
|
| 4/16/1998 |
1122.72 |
Sell |
10.07% |
$5,460.59 |
|
| 4/27/1998 |
1085.11 |
Cash |
3.35% |
$5,643.52 |
|
| 5/4/1998 |
1115.65 |
Sell |
0.11% |
$5,649.67 |
|
| 6/25/1998 |
1133.2 |
Buy |
-1.57% |
$5,560.80 |
|
| 6/26/1998 |
1138.49 |
Cash |
0.47% |
$5,586.76 |
|
| 6/30/1998 |
1148.56 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$5,589.20 |
|
| 7/8/1998 |
1158.56 |
Cash |
0.87% |
$5,637.86 |
|
| 7/9/1998 |
1164.33 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$5,639.09 |
|
| 7/16/1998 |
1186.75 |
Sell |
1.93% |
$5,747.68 |
|
| 8/7/1998 |
1083.14 |
Buy |
8.73% |
$6,249.48 |
|
| 8/17/1998 |
1101.2 |
Sell |
1.67% |
$6,353.68 |
|
| 9/1/1998 |
990.48 |
Buy |
10.05% |
$6,992.51 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1998
S&P 500: +26.7%
1st Choice Timing: +89.2% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/4/1999 |
1244.78 |
Cash |
25.67% |
$8,787.80 |
|
| 1/5/1999 |
1272.34 |
Sell |
0.02% |
$8,789.52 |
|
| 1/12/1999 |
1234.4 |
Cash |
2.98% |
$9,051.62 |
|
| 1/13/1999 |
1212.19 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$9,053.34 |
|
| 2/12/1999 |
1241.87 |
Sell |
2.45% |
$9,275.01 |
|
| 4/27/1999 |
1350.91 |
Buy |
-8.78% |
$8,460.63 |
|
| 5/4/1999 |
1347.31 |
Sell |
-0.27% |
$8,438.09 |
|
| 6/3/1999 |
1327.75 |
Buy |
1.45% |
$8,560.59 |
|
| 6/22/1999 |
1333.06 |
Sell |
0.40% |
$8,594.83 |
|
| 6/25/1999 |
1331.35 |
Buy |
0.13% |
$8,605.85 |
|
| 7/2/1999 |
1388.12 |
Cash |
4.26% |
$8,972.81 |
|
| 7/6/1999 |
1395.86 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$8,974.66 |
|
| 7/8/1999 |
1403.28 |
Cash |
0.53% |
$9,022.37 |
|
| 7/13/1999 |
1398.17 |
Buy |
0.06% |
$9,027.91 |
|
| 7/16/1999 |
1407.65 |
Sell |
0.68% |
$9,089.12 |
|
| 7/23/1999 |
1347.7 |
Buy |
4.26% |
$9,476.22 |
|
| 8/17/1999 |
1332.84 |
Sell |
-1.10% |
$9,371.73 |
|
| 8/18/1999 |
1323.59 |
Buy |
0.69% |
$9,436.77 |
|
| 8/24/1999 |
1381.79 |
Sell |
4.40% |
$9,851.72 |
|
| 9/15/1999 |
1318.48 |
Buy |
4.58% |
$10,303.10 |
|
| 11/12/1999 |
1394.39 |
Sell |
5.76% |
$10,896.29 |
|
| 11/18/1999 |
1422 |
Buy |
-1.98% |
$10,680.53 |
|
| 12/15/1999 |
1418.78 |
Cash |
-0.23% |
$10,656.35 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1999
S&P 500: +19.5%
1st Choice Timing: +23.1% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/4/2000 |
1402.11 |
Sell |
0.31% |
$10,689.16 |
|
| 1/12/2000 |
1449.68 |
Cash |
-3.39% |
$10,326.50 |
|
| 1/19/2000 |
1445.57 |
Sell |
0.09% |
$10,336.03 |
|
| 1/27/2000 |
1360.16 |
Buy |
5.91% |
$10,946.72 |
|
| 5/2/2000 |
1415.1 |
Sell |
4.04% |
$11,388.89 |
|
| 5/5/2000 |
1424.17 |
Buy |
-0.64% |
$11,315.89 |
|
| 6/2/2000 |
1467.63 |
Sell |
3.05% |
$11,661.21 |
|
| 6/27/2000 |
1454.82 |
Buy |
0.87% |
$11,762.99 |
|
| 7/17/2000 |
1493.74 |
Sell |
2.68% |
$12,077.68 |
|
| 9/21/2000 |
1448.72 |
Buy |
3.01% |
$12,441.69 |
|
| 11/2/2000 |
1426.69 |
Sell |
-1.52% |
$12,252.49 |
|
| 11/20/2000 |
1347.35 |
Buy |
5.56% |
$12,933.87 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2000
S&P 500: -10.1%
1st Choice Timing: +18.6% |
|
| |
|
|
| 2/13/2001 |
1315.92 |
Sell |
-2.33% |
$12,632.16 |
|
| 3/12/2001 |
1197.66 |
Buy |
8.99% |
$13,767.39 |
|
| 3/19/2001 |
1142.62 |
Sell |
-4.60% |
$13,134.70 |
|
| 4/6/2001 |
1137.59 |
Buy |
0.44% |
$13,192.52 |
|
| 4/18/2001 |
1253.7 |
Sell |
10.21% |
$14,539.03 |
|
| 4/25/2001 |
1234.52 |
Buy |
1.53% |
$14,761.46 |
|
| 5/10/2001 |
1245.67 |
Sell |
0.90% |
$14,894.78 |
|
| 6/26/2001 |
1211.07 |
Buy |
2.78% |
$15,308.50 |
|
| 7/17/2001 |
1207.71 |
Sell |
-0.28% |
$15,266.03 |
|
| 9/21/2001 |
1003.45 |
Buy |
16.91% |
$17,847.98 |
|
| 10/10/2001 |
1097.43 |
Sell |
9.37% |
$19,519.56 |
|
| 10/26/2001 |
1078.3 |
Buy |
1.74% |
$19,859.82 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2001
S&P 500: -13.0%
1st Choice Timing: +66.8% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/3/2002 |
1172.51 |
Sell |
8.74% |
$21,594.95 |
|
| 1/14/2002 |
1146.19 |
Buy |
2.24% |
$22,079.71 |
|
| 1/18/2002 |
1119.31 |
Sell |
-2.35% |
$21,561.91 |
|
| 3/7/2002 |
1164.31 |
Buy |
-4.02% |
$20,695.04 |
|
| 3/19/2002 |
1151.85 |
Sell |
-1.07% |
$20,473.57 |
|
| 4/25/2002 |
1076.32 |
Buy |
6.56% |
$21,816.08 |
|
| 5/23/2002 |
1083.82 |
Sell |
0.70% |
$21,968.10 |
|
| 6/25/2002 |
973.53 |
Buy |
10.18% |
$24,203.58 |
|
| 8/7/2002 |
905.46 |
Sell |
-6.99% |
$22,511.25 |
|
| 10/28/2002 |
882.15 |
Buy |
2.57% |
$23,090.78 |
|
| 11/4/2002 |
915.39 |
Sell |
3.77% |
$23,960.85 |
|
| 11/18/2002 |
896.74 |
Buy |
2.04% |
$24,449.03 |
|
| 12/10/2002 |
904.96 |
Cash |
0.92% |
$24,673.14 |
|
| 12/20/2002 |
897.38 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$24,683.52 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2002
S&P 500: -23.4%
1st Choice Timing: +14.5% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/3/2003 |
929.01 |
Sell |
3.52% |
$25,553.54 |
|
| 1/13/2003 |
931.66 |
Buy |
-0.29% |
$25,480.65 |
|
| 1/16/2003 |
901.78 |
Cash |
-3.21% |
$24,663.45 |
|
| 1/17/2003 |
887.62 |
Sell |
0.01% |
$24,664.69 |
|
| 3/12/2003 |
831.9 |
Buy |
6.28% |
$26,213.00 |
|
| 3/17/2003 |
866.45 |
Cash |
4.15% |
$27,301.67 |
|
| 3/19/2003 |
875.67 |
Sell |
0.01% |
$27,304.29 |
|
| 3/28/2003 |
848.18 |
Buy |
3.14% |
$28,161.45 |
|
| 7/22/2003 |
988.61 |
Sell |
16.56% |
$32,824.04 |
|
| 10/1/2003 |
1020.24 |
Buy |
-3.20% |
$31,773.85 |
|
| 12/11/2003 |
1074.14 |
Cash |
5.28% |
$33,452.49 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2003
S&P 500: +26.4%
1st Choice Timing: +38.3% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/5/2004 |
1123.67 |
Sell |
0.06% |
$33,473.25 |
|
| 1/12/2004 |
1121.22 |
Cash |
0.22% |
$33,546.24 |
|
| 1/16/2004 |
1138.77 |
Sell |
0.02% |
$33,551.66 |
|
| 1/30/2004 |
1135.26 |
Buy |
0.31% |
$33,655.07 |
|
| 2/6/2004 |
1139.81 |
Sell |
0.40% |
$33,789.96 |
|
| 2/20/2004 |
1140.99 |
Buy |
-0.10% |
$33,754.98 |
|
| 3/5/2004 |
1147.21 |
Sell |
0.55% |
$33,938.99 |
|
| 3/12/2004 |
1104.49 |
Buy |
3.72% |
$35,202.82 |
|
| 3/15/2004 |
1110.7 |
Cash |
0.56% |
$35,400.74 |
|
| 3/18/2004 |
1109.78 |
Buy |
0.01% |
$35,405.12 |
|
| 4/2/2004 |
1150.57 |
Sell |
3.68% |
$36,706.43 |
|
| 4/27/2004 |
1122.41 |
Cash |
2.45% |
$37,604.81 |
|
| 5/4/2004 |
1121.53 |
Sell |
0.02% |
$37,612.82 |
|
| 5/21/2004 |
1095.41 |
Buy |
2.33% |
$38,488.81 |
|
| 5/24/2004 |
1113.05 |
Sell |
1.61% |
$39,108.62 |
|
| 6/25/2004 |
1133.35 |
Cash |
-1.82% |
$38,395.36 |
|
| 7/6/2004 |
1118.33 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$38,409.15 |
|
| 7/8/2004 |
1112.81 |
Cash |
-0.49% |
$38,219.57 |
|
| 7/13/2004 |
1111.47 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$38,226.39 |
|
| 7/16/2004 |
1100.9 |
Sell |
-0.95% |
$37,862.86 |
|
| 7/29/2004 |
1101.72 |
Buy |
-0.07% |
$37,834.66 |
|
| 8/26/2004 |
1107.77 |
Sell |
0.55% |
$38,042.43 |
|
| 10/11/2004 |
1121.84 |
Buy |
-1.27% |
$37,559.24 |
|
| 12/31/2004 |
1202.08 |
Buy |
7.15% |
$40,245.68 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2004
S&P 500: +9.0%
1st Choice Timing: +21.2% |
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| Trades: 172 (77.33% Winners)
9.55/year |
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| Largest
Gain: +31.25% |
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| Largest
Loss: -8.78% |
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|
|
| Total
Gain: +16230.16% |
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|
|
| Comp.
Ann. Ret.: +32.71% |
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|
|
| Percent
Invested: 97.20% |
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| Percent
long: 66.40% |
|
| Percent
short: 30.81% |
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| Important
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