| 1st Choice Next Day Trades Using a 2.0 Beta
S&P 500 Index Fund |
|
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|
| |
January 1987 Through
December 2004 |
|
| |
S&P 500 |
1ST |
1ST |
1ST |
|
| |
CLOSE |
CHOICE |
CHOICE |
CHOICE |
|
| DATE |
VALUE |
POSITION |
GAIN |
VALUE |
|
| ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
|
| 1/2/1987 |
246.45 |
Buy |
|
$246.45 |
|
| 3/10/1987 |
290.31 |
Sell |
35.59% |
$334.17 |
|
| 3/12/1987 |
289.89 |
Buy |
0.29% |
$335.14 |
|
| 3/19/1987 |
298.17 |
Sell |
5.71% |
$354.28 |
|
| 4/27/1987 |
282.51 |
Cash |
10.50% |
$391.50 |
|
| 4/30/1987 |
288.03 |
Buy |
0.08% |
$391.80 |
| 5/4/1987 |
295.34 |
Sell |
5.08% |
$411.69 |
| 6/17/1987 |
305.69 |
Buy |
-7.01% |
$382.83 |
| 7/28/1987 |
315.65 |
Sell |
6.52% |
$407.78 |
| 10/27/1987 |
233.28 |
Cash |
52.19% |
$620.60 |
| 11/3/1987 |
248.96 |
Sell |
0.15% |
$621.55 |
| 11/18/1987 |
240.05 |
Buy |
7.16% |
$666.04 |
| |
|
|
| 1987
S&P 500: +0.3%
1st Choice Timing: +186.1% |
| |
|
|
| 2/26/1988 |
267.82 |
Sell |
23.14% |
$820.14 |
| 3/14/1988 |
266.13 |
Buy |
1.26% |
$830.49 |
| 11/2/1988 |
279.2 |
Sell |
9.82% |
$912.06 |
| 11/18/1988 |
266.22 |
Buy |
9.30% |
$996.87 |
| |
|
|
| 1988
S&P 500: +12.4%
1st Choice Timing: +53.6% |
| |
|
|
| 8/4/1989 |
349.41 |
Sell |
62.50% |
$1,619.88 |
| 8/9/1989 |
348.25 |
Buy |
0.66% |
$1,630.64 |
| 8/31/1989 |
353.73 |
Sell |
3.15% |
$1,681.95 |
| 9/8/1989 |
347.66 |
Buy |
3.43% |
$1,739.68 |
| 10/11/1989 |
355.39 |
Sell |
4.45% |
$1,817.04 |
| 10/26/1989 |
335.06 |
Cash |
11.44% |
$2,024.93 |
| 10/31/1989 |
341.2 |
Buy |
0.10% |
$2,026.97 |
| 11/3/1989 |
332.61 |
Sell |
-5.04% |
$1,924.91 |
| 11/20/1989 |
339.59 |
Buy |
-4.20% |
$1,844.12 |
| |
|
|
| 1989
S&P 500: +27.3%
1st Choice Timing: +84.1% |
| |
|
|
| 4/11/1990 |
344.34 |
Sell |
2.80% |
$1,895.70 |
| 4/20/1990 |
331.05 |
Buy |
7.72% |
$2,042.04 |
| 7/17/1990 |
364.22 |
Sell |
20.04% |
$2,451.25 |
| 9/6/1990 |
323.4 |
Buy |
22.42% |
$3,000.69 |
| 9/11/1990 |
322.54 |
Sell |
-0.53% |
$2,984.73 |
| 10/1/1990 |
315.21 |
Buy |
4.55% |
$3,120.40 |
|
| 10/19/1990 |
314.76 |
Sell |
-0.29% |
$3,111.49 |
|
| 10/26/1990 |
301.88 |
Buy |
8.18% |
$3,366.13 |
|
| 11/2/1990 |
314.59 |
Sell |
8.42% |
$3,649.58 |
|
| 11/19/1990 |
315.31 |
Buy |
-0.46% |
$3,632.87 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1990
S&P 500: -6.6%
1st Choice Timing: +99.4% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/4/1991 |
315.44 |
Sell |
0.08% |
$3,635.87 |
|
| 1/14/1991 |
313.73 |
Buy |
1.08% |
$3,675.29 |
|
| 5/9/1991 |
375.74 |
Sell |
39.53% |
$5,128.16 |
|
| 6/25/1991 |
371.59 |
Buy |
2.21% |
$5,241.44 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1991
S&P 500: +26.3%
1st Choice Timing: +64.1% |
|
| |
|
|
| 2/25/1992 |
415.35 |
Sell |
23.55% |
$6,475.95 |
|
| 3/12/1992 |
405.84 |
Cash |
4.58% |
$6,772.50 |
|
| 3/19/1992 |
411.3 |
Sell |
0.09% |
$6,778.36 |
|
| 4/13/1992 |
412.39 |
Buy |
-0.53% |
$6,742.43 |
|
| 4/15/1992 |
416.05 |
Sell |
1.78% |
$6,862.11 |
|
| 4/27/1992 |
409.11 |
Buy |
3.34% |
$7,091.04 |
|
| 5/4/1992 |
416.84 |
Sell |
3.78% |
$7,359.01 |
|
| 6/23/1992 |
403.83 |
Buy |
6.24% |
$7,818.37 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1992
S&P 500: +4.5%
1st Choice Timing: +38.7% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/19/1993 |
448.88 |
Sell |
22.31% |
$9,562.76 |
|
| 4/8/1993 |
448.37 |
Buy |
0.23% |
$9,584.49 |
|
| 7/16/1993 |
446.03 |
Sell |
-1.04% |
$9,484.45 |
|
| 8/11/1993 |
448.96 |
Buy |
-1.31% |
$9,359.84 |
|
| 11/2/1993 |
463.02 |
Sell |
6.26% |
$9,946.08 |
|
| 11/18/1993 |
462.6 |
Buy |
0.18% |
$9,964.13 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1993
S&P 500: +7.1%
1st Choice Timing +11.9% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/22/1994 |
468.54 |
Sell |
2.57% |
$10,220.02 |
|
| 4/8/1994 |
449.87 |
Buy |
7.97% |
$11,034.49 |
|
| 9/14/1994 |
474.81 |
Sell |
11.09% |
$12,257.96 |
|
| 10/26/1994 |
465.85 |
Cash |
3.77% |
$12,720.59 |
|
| 11/2/1994 |
467.91 |
Sell |
0.11% |
$12,734.71 |
|
| 11/18/1994 |
458.3 |
Cash |
4.11% |
$13,257.81 |
|
| 11/21/1994 |
450.09 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$13,260.93 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1994
S&P 500: -1.5%
1st Choice Timing: +36.2% |
|
| |
|
|
| 9/22/1995 |
581.81 |
Sell |
58.53% |
$21,022.61 |
|
| 10/26/1995 |
579.7 |
Cash |
0.73% |
$21,175.09 |
|
| 11/2/1995 |
590.57 |
Sell |
0.12% |
$21,199.77 |
|
| 11/7/1995 |
591.71 |
Buy |
-0.39% |
$21,117.92 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1995
S&P 500: +34.1%
1st Choice Timing: +65.5% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/19/1996 |
649.98 |
Sell |
19.70% |
$25,277.19 |
|
| 4/11/1996 |
636.71 |
Buy |
4.08% |
$26,309.31 |
|
| 6/10/1996 |
670.97 |
Sell |
10.76% |
$29,140.60 |
|
| 6/25/1996 |
664.39 |
Buy |
1.96% |
$29,712.14 |
|
| 6/27/1996 |
670.63 |
Cash |
1.88% |
$30,270.26 |
|
| 7/5/1996 |
652.54 |
Buy |
0.11% |
$30,303.65 |
|
| 7/8/1996 |
654.75 |
Cash |
0.68% |
$30,508.92 |
|
| 7/16/1996 |
634.07 |
Buy |
0.13% |
$30,549.75 |
|
| 7/17/1996 |
643.56 |
Sell |
2.99% |
$31,464.21 |
|
| 7/29/1996 |
635.26 |
Buy |
2.58% |
$32,275.80 |
|
| 8/8/1996 |
662.1 |
Sell |
8.45% |
$35,003.13 |
|
| 9/30/1996 |
689.08 |
Buy |
-8.15% |
$32,150.43 |
|
| 10/9/1996 |
694.61 |
Sell |
1.61% |
$32,666.46 |
|
| 10/28/1996 |
701.5 |
Buy |
-1.98% |
$32,018.40 |
|
| 11/4/1996 |
714.14 |
Sell |
3.60% |
$33,172.25 |
|
| 11/14/1996 |
737.62 |
Buy |
-6.58% |
$30,990.93 |
|
| 12/27/1996 |
753.85 |
Cash |
4.40% |
$32,354.73 |
|
| 12/31/1996 |
737.01 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$32,368.63 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1996
S&P 500: +20.3%
1st Choice Timing: +41.7% |
|
| |
|
|
| 3/19/1997 |
782.65 |
Sell |
12.39% |
$36,377.54 |
|
| 4/25/1997 |
772.96 |
Cash |
2.48% |
$37,278.32 |
|
| 5/1/1997 |
812.97 |
Buy |
0.09% |
$37,311.73 |
|
| 5/2/1997 |
830.24 |
Sell |
4.25% |
$38,896.96 |
|
| 5/5/1997 |
827.76 |
Buy |
0.60% |
$39,129.34 |
|
| 7/25/1997 |
936.45 |
Sell |
26.26% |
$49,405.18 |
|
| 8/15/1997 |
912.49 |
Buy |
5.12% |
$51,933.35 |
|
| 12/5/1997 |
982.37 |
Cash |
15.32% |
$59,887.63 |
|
| 12/12/1997 |
963.39 |
Buy |
0.11% |
$59,955.43 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1997
S&P 500: +31.0%
1st Choice Timing: +87.9% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/5/1998 |
966.58 |
Sell |
0.66% |
$60,352.48 |
|
| 1/9/1998 |
939.21 |
Buy |
5.66% |
$63,770.40 |
|
| 2/2/1998 |
1005.99 |
Sell |
14.22% |
$72,838.84 |
|
| 2/10/1998 |
1020.01 |
Buy |
-2.79% |
$70,808.59 |
|
| 4/16/1998 |
1122.72 |
Sell |
20.14% |
$85,068.74 |
|
| 4/27/1998 |
1085.11 |
Cash |
6.70% |
$90,768.18 |
|
| 5/4/1998 |
1115.65 |
Sell |
0.11% |
$90,867.19 |
|
| 6/25/1998 |
1133.2 |
Buy |
-3.15% |
$88,008.38 |
|
| 6/26/1998 |
1138.49 |
Cash |
0.93% |
$88,830.07 |
|
| 6/30/1998 |
1148.56 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$88,868.80 |
|
| 7/8/1998 |
1158.56 |
Cash |
1.74% |
$90,416.28 |
|
| 7/9/1998 |
1164.33 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$90,436.03 |
|
| 7/16/1998 |
1186.75 |
Sell |
3.85% |
$93,918.86 |
|
| 8/7/1998 |
1083.14 |
Buy |
17.46% |
$110,318.16 |
|
| 8/17/1998 |
1101.2 |
Sell |
3.33% |
$113,996.98 |
|
| 9/1/1998 |
990.48 |
Buy |
20.11% |
$136,920.59 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1998
S&P 500: +26.7%
1st Choice Timing: +233.6% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/4/1999 |
1244.78 |
Cash |
51.35% |
$207,227.75 |
|
| 1/5/1999 |
1272.34 |
Sell |
0.02% |
$207,268.36 |
|
| 1/12/1999 |
1234.4 |
Cash |
5.96% |
$219,629.44 |
|
| 1/13/1999 |
1212.19 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$219,671.25 |
|
| 2/12/1999 |
1241.87 |
Sell |
4.90% |
$230,428.41 |
|
| 4/27/1999 |
1350.91 |
Buy |
-17.56% |
$189,963.75 |
|
| 5/4/1999 |
1347.31 |
Sell |
-0.53% |
$188,951.30 |
|
| 6/3/1999 |
1327.75 |
Buy |
2.90% |
$194,437.64 |
|
| 6/22/1999 |
1333.06 |
Sell |
0.80% |
$195,992.86 |
|
| 6/25/1999 |
1331.35 |
Buy |
0.26% |
$196,495.70 |
|
| 7/2/1999 |
1388.12 |
Cash |
8.53% |
$213,253.23 |
|
| 7/6/1999 |
1395.86 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$213,297.08 |
|
| 7/8/1999 |
1403.28 |
Cash |
1.06% |
$215,564.75 |
|
| 7/13/1999 |
1398.17 |
Buy |
0.06% |
$215,697.19 |
|
| 7/16/1999 |
1407.65 |
Sell |
1.36% |
$218,622.16 |
|
| 7/23/1999 |
1347.7 |
Buy |
8.52% |
$237,243.84 |
|
| 8/17/1999 |
1332.84 |
Sell |
-2.21% |
$232,012.06 |
|
| 8/18/1999 |
1323.59 |
Buy |
1.39% |
$235,232.42 |
|
| 8/24/1999 |
1381.79 |
Sell |
8.79% |
$255,919.41 |
|
| 9/15/1999 |
1318.48 |
Buy |
9.16% |
$279,370.53 |
|
| 11/12/1999 |
1394.39 |
Sell |
11.51% |
$311,539.44 |
|
| 11/18/1999 |
1422 |
Buy |
-3.96% |
$299,202.00 |
|
| 12/15/1999 |
1418.78 |
Cash |
-0.45% |
$297,846.97 |
|
| |
|
|
| 1999
S&P 500: +19.5%
1st Choice Timing: +47.2% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/4/2000 |
1402.11 |
Sell |
0.31% |
$298,764.09 |
|
| 1/12/2000 |
1449.68 |
Cash |
-6.79% |
$278,491.47 |
|
| 1/19/2000 |
1445.57 |
Sell |
0.09% |
$278,748.34 |
|
| 1/27/2000 |
1360.16 |
Buy |
11.82% |
$311,687.44 |
|
| 5/2/2000 |
1415.1 |
Sell |
8.08% |
$336,866.97 |
|
| 5/5/2000 |
1424.17 |
Buy |
-1.28% |
$332,548.69 |
|
| 6/2/2000 |
1467.63 |
Sell |
6.10% |
$352,844.78 |
|
| 6/27/2000 |
1454.82 |
Buy |
1.75% |
$359,004.31 |
|
| 7/17/2000 |
1493.74 |
Sell |
5.35% |
$378,212.81 |
|
| 9/21/2000 |
1448.72 |
Buy |
6.03% |
$401,010.81 |
|
| 11/2/2000 |
1426.69 |
Sell |
-3.04% |
$388,814.84 |
|
| 11/20/2000 |
1347.35 |
Buy |
11.12% |
$432,059.78 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2000
S&P 500: -10.1%
1st Choice Timing: +38.8% |
|
| |
|
|
| 2/13/2001 |
1315.92 |
Sell |
-4.67% |
$411,902.28 |
|
| 3/12/2001 |
1197.66 |
Buy |
17.97% |
$485,936.53 |
|
| 3/19/2001 |
1142.62 |
Sell |
-9.19% |
$441,272.81 |
|
| 4/6/2001 |
1137.59 |
Buy |
0.88% |
$445,157.94 |
|
| 4/18/2001 |
1253.7 |
Sell |
20.41% |
$536,029.50 |
|
| 4/25/2001 |
1234.52 |
Buy |
3.06% |
$552,430.56 |
|
| 5/10/2001 |
1245.67 |
Sell |
1.81% |
$562,409.50 |
|
| 6/26/2001 |
1211.07 |
Buy |
5.56% |
$593,652.81 |
|
| 7/17/2001 |
1207.71 |
Sell |
-0.55% |
$590,358.75 |
|
| 9/21/2001 |
1003.45 |
Buy |
33.83% |
$790,053.44 |
|
| 10/10/2001 |
1097.43 |
Sell |
18.73% |
$938,041.38 |
|
| 10/26/2001 |
1078.3 |
Buy |
3.49% |
$970,744.56 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2001
S&P 500: -13.0%
1st Choice Timing: +164.4% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/3/2002 |
1172.51 |
Sell |
17.47% |
$1,140,370.50 |
|
| 1/14/2002 |
1146.19 |
Buy |
4.49% |
$1,191,567.75 |
|
| 1/18/2002 |
1119.31 |
Sell |
-4.69% |
$1,135,679.62 |
|
| 3/7/2002 |
1164.31 |
Buy |
-8.04% |
$1,044,363.38 |
|
| 3/19/2002 |
1151.85 |
Sell |
-2.14% |
$1,022,010.50 |
|
| 4/25/2002 |
1076.32 |
Buy |
13.11% |
$1,156,042.62 |
|
| 5/23/2002 |
1083.82 |
Sell |
1.39% |
$1,172,153.62 |
|
| 6/25/2002 |
973.53 |
Buy |
20.35% |
$1,410,711.12 |
|
| 8/7/2002 |
905.46 |
Sell |
-13.98% |
$1,213,435.00 |
|
| 10/28/2002 |
882.15 |
Buy |
5.15% |
$1,275,911.88 |
|
| 11/4/2002 |
915.39 |
Sell |
7.54% |
$1,372,066.25 |
|
| 11/18/2002 |
896.74 |
Buy |
4.07% |
$1,427,974.75 |
|
| 12/10/2002 |
904.96 |
Cash |
1.83% |
$1,454,154.00 |
|
| 12/20/2002 |
897.38 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$1,454,765.88 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2002
S&P 500: -23.4%
1st Choice Timing: +27.5% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/3/2003 |
929.01 |
Sell |
7.05% |
$1,557,318.25 |
|
| 1/13/2003 |
931.66 |
Buy |
-0.57% |
$1,548,433.88 |
|
| 1/16/2003 |
901.78 |
Cash |
-6.41% |
$1,449,112.00 |
|
| 1/17/2003 |
887.62 |
Sell |
0.01% |
$1,449,185.00 |
|
| 3/12/2003 |
831.9 |
Buy |
12.55% |
$1,631,129.00 |
|
| 3/17/2003 |
866.45 |
Cash |
8.31% |
$1,766,615.25 |
|
| 3/19/2003 |
875.67 |
Sell |
0.01% |
$1,766,784.88 |
|
| 3/28/2003 |
848.18 |
Buy |
6.28% |
$1,877,714.62 |
|
| 7/22/2003 |
988.61 |
Sell |
33.11% |
$2,499,487.00 |
|
| 10/1/2003 |
1020.24 |
Buy |
-6.40% |
$2,339,547.75 |
|
| 12/11/2003 |
1074.14 |
Cash |
10.57% |
$2,586,747.75 |
|
| |
|
|
| 2003
S&P 500: +26.4%
1st Choice Timing: +85.2% |
|
| |
|
|
| 1/5/2004 |
1123.67 |
Sell |
0.06% |
$2,588,353.50 |
|
| 1/12/2004 |
1121.22 |
Cash |
0.44% |
$2,599,641.00 |
|
| 1/16/2004 |
1138.77 |
Sell |
0.02% |
$2,600,061.00 |
|
| 1/30/2004 |
1135.26 |
Buy |
0.62% |
$2,616,089.25 |
|
| 2/6/2004 |
1139.81 |
Sell |
0.80% |
$2,637,059.50 |
|
| 2/20/2004 |
1140.99 |
Buy |
-0.21% |
$2,631,599.75 |
|
| 3/5/2004 |
1147.21 |
Sell |
1.09% |
$2,660,291.50 |
|
| 3/12/2004 |
1104.49 |
Buy |
7.45% |
$2,858,420.25 |
|
| 3/15/2004 |
1110.7 |
Cash |
1.12% |
$2,890,563.00 |
|
| 3/18/2004 |
1109.78 |
Buy |
0.01% |
$2,890,920.25 |
|
| 4/2/2004 |
1150.57 |
Sell |
7.35% |
$3,103,431.50 |
|
| 4/27/2004 |
1122.41 |
Cash |
4.89% |
$3,255,343.00 |
|
| 5/4/2004 |
1121.53 |
Sell |
0.02% |
$3,256,037.00 |
|
| 5/21/2004 |
1095.41 |
Buy |
4.66% |
$3,407,700.75 |
|
| 5/24/2004 |
1113.05 |
Sell |
3.22% |
$3,517,453.00 |
|
| 6/25/2004 |
1133.35 |
Cash |
-3.65% |
$3,389,149.50 |
|
| 7/6/2004 |
1118.33 |
Buy |
0.04% |
$3,390,367.00 |
|
| 7/8/2004 |
1112.81 |
Cash |
-0.99% |
$3,356,898.50 |
|
| 7/13/2004 |
1111.47 |
Buy |
0.02% |
$3,357,497.25 |
|
| 7/16/2004 |
1100.9 |
Sell |
-1.90% |
$3,293,638.50 |
|
| 7/29/2004 |
1101.72 |
Buy |
-0.15% |
$3,288,732.25 |
|
| 8/26/2004 |
1107.77 |
Sell |
1.10% |
$3,324,852.00 |
|
| 10/11/2004 |
1121.84 |
Buy |
-2.54% |
$3,240,393.25 |
|
| 12/31/2004 |
1202.08 |
Buy |
14.31% |
$3,703,933.75 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2004
S&P 500: +9.0%
1st Choice Timing: +45.3% |
|
| |
|
|
| Trades: 172 (77.33% Winners)
9.55/year |
|
| Largest
Gain: +62.50% |
|
| Largest
Loss: -17.56% |
|
| Total
Gain: +1375417.58% |
|
|
|
| Comp.
Ann. Ret.: +70.59% |
|
|
|
| Percent
Invested: 97.20% |
|
|
|
| Percent
long: 66.40% |
|
|
|
| Percent
short: 30.81% |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| Important
Disclaimer |
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